Highly speculative, but, um, wow.
He’s stepped out with a couple of major claims. If they bear out… eep.


Hey, look at the bright side.

You could have had this guy’s day.

Melodrama vs. Reality

Off the cuff, as I sit here at work, 33 years old, let me present to you the geopolitical history of my life.

Desert Shield and Storm

The First Wave:
The Scorched Flag of Hungary (The “Trabi” Revolution?)
The Wall is Breached
The Velvet Revolution of Czechoslovakia
The German Reunification
The Romanian Revolution
Baltic and Caucasian Independence

The Wars Against Milosevic:
The Slovanian Withdrawal
First Balkan War
Second Balkan War
The Serbian Revolution

East Timor
Tianenmen (sp?) Square
Rwanda and the plight of Sub-Saharan Africa

The Afghan Invasion and Restoration
The Iraqi Invasion and fall of Hussein
The Rose Revolution
The Orange Revolution
The Cedar Revolution
The Tulip Revolution

Upcoming/In Process:
The Return of the Lion (Iran)
Morocco? (reforms from above!)
Syria ?

There are some things I’m not 100% sure how to fit in… for example, the Chechen revolution was one thing, and then another, and now a third. West and Central Africa have not been success stories, by and large. And Eritrea/Ethiopia? I don’t have a clue how whether that fits the pattern. Similarly for the Caucasian border conflicts.

But I think it’s safe to say that within my lifetime, there is an overarching theme: more people on this planet are free from tyranny than at any point in human history. And to a great extent, that march towards freedom is what has been determining the scope of our current conflicts. It can’t be understimated. China threatened to NUKE hundreds of American cities this week. Because we were poised to invade China or North Korea? Nope. Because they feel threatened by our airbases in Central Asia. Nope again. Merely because we stand for, and are willing to fight for, the freedom of 22 million Taiwanese underneath the polite veneer of the “One China” policy.

I think that this needs to be taken as a whole, understood as a whole. However suspicious one might rightly be concerning historical dialectics, this seems to be precisely what we have in motion. On again, off again, cold and hot… is it melodrama, or reality, to call this the Great Freedom War?

Just in case anybody out there is still unclear on the concept….

Tyrants collude with other tyrants, ideology notwithstanding.
Terrorists and gangsters collude with other terrorists and gangsters, ideology notwithstanding.

Why? Because evil recognizes evil, and those who oppress, maim, and slaughter the innocent recognize their own approvingly.

So, why should anybody be surprised when a pro-ETA newspaper in the Basque country supports the 7/7 bombings in London? Of course they do, just like FARC and the IRA collude with Al-Qaeda, and MS13 is hired by “The Spaniard” to smuggle jihadists across the border into the US.

The US and its allies are playing a game of Diplomacy.
China has come right out and proclaimed that it’s playing Civilization, (the PLA likes AQ, and hasn’t backed off its threats to nuke the US, either).
And the jihadis and gangsters are playing a particularly twisted form (insofar as that is possible) of Grand Theft Auto.

Each game has a different set of rules, advantages, and disadvantages. And, each game is competing with the other games for supremacy.

When presented with the facts, only a Noam-Chomsky-reading Idiotarian could come to any conclusion other than that we are faced with something every bit as globally dangerous as the Cold War, where the only rules are those that define you.

OUR rules happen to involve a sense of fair play. Of not punishing the innocent along with the guilty. Heated discussions involving nothing more than the properly ethical response — and even the properly ethical attitude.

Theirs involve (PLA) the wholesale oppression of tens of millions, and, (AQ) literally glories in the mass slaughter of the innocent, the bombing of infants, and stabbings little Jewish girls in their beds, simply because of who they are. None of us particularly relish playing Diplomacy for real. The Great Game is something that, in a better world, would be eschewed for Parcheezi. But, our opponents like playing their games.

So we’d better win.

Zarqawi to force sectarian war?

Well, Sistani is out front calling the Sunni bombings a “genocidal war.” As well he should.

Yes, I am aware that our interests in Iraq do NOT involve a bloody sectarian war. However, Shia interests surely include not having Sunni foreigners coming in from other countries in order to kill them.

Dicey, difficult, and dangerous.

It begins.

The Iranians are slowly starting to fight for their freedom.
(hat tip, WindsofChange)

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